Tropical Depression Ten has emerged in the western Caribbean near the Yucatán Peninsula, and it holds the potential to intensify into a hurricane, posing a looming threat to the Gulf Coast and Florida.
Current Warnings and Watches
A tropical storm warning has been declared for Mexico’s Yucatán Peninsula, spanning from Tulum to Rio Lagartos, including Cozumel. Additionally, a tropical storm watch applies to the western tip of Cuba, covering Pinar Del Rio and the Isle of Youth.
Depression’s Expected Path
The depression is anticipated to mature into a tropical storm on Sunday while lingering in the Yucatán Channel. On Monday, it will start heading northward, entering the Gulf of Mexico. As it traverses the Gulf, it is projected to bolster in strength, evolving into a hurricane by Tuesday afternoon within the eastern Gulf. Landfall along Florida’s western coast is forecasted for Wednesday.
Preparations in Florida
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has already declared a state of emergency in 33 counties as a precautionary measure. This action is taken to ensure preparedness across communities, especially those still recuperating from the effects of Hurricane Ian.
Factors Influencing Intensity
The development of this storm hinges on several factors, with sea surface temperatures being a significant one. The Gulf of Mexico and the northwestern Caribbean Sea presently have record-high temperatures, providing ample energy for the storm. However, wind shear, or changes in wind speed and direction with altitude, can either help or hinder the storm’s growth. Depending on the level of wind shear, this system could either struggle to develop or thrive.
Hurricane Franklin in the Central Atlantic
In a separate development, Tropical Storm Franklin has progressed into a Category 1 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 90 miles per hour. Located 575 miles south of Bermuda, it is moving towards the north-northwest and is expected to strengthen further. This hurricane may reach Category 3 or higher, signifying winds surpassing 111 mph.
Franklin is expected to generate swells affecting Bermuda and the East Coast of the United States, accompanied by life-threatening surf and rip currents. The storm’s proximity to Bermuda on Monday and Monday night will determine its exact impact on the island.
As both storms evolve, they underscore the need for vigilance and preparedness among coastal residents and authorities. Stay tuned to weather updates and heed any evacuation orders or safety advisories issued by local authorities.